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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +34.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+34.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$317.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$51.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.91M volume · 686 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$141.7k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$90.7k
Closed-position win rate
75%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
54 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +34.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hornets vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Celtics @ 66¢ | $25.9k | called |
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $109.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Wizards vs. Heat | MED BUY Heat @ 93.7¢ | $102.8k 4.0× usual |
called |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Spurs @ 96¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 57¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
 Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
 Will France win on 2026-03-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7c36b6…