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What this means. A wallet put $42.3k on PARIVISION, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.3k
BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ · 83,017 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet BITCOINTO500K took PARIVISION (buy) for $42.3k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $42.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if PARIVISION wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $42.3k
- Placed
- Jan 31, 04:02 EST
- Market close
- Jan 31, 08:00 EST
- Result
- Natus Vincere
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BITCOINTO500K
- Tx
- 0x539ad3f6…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-23.5 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsPARIVISION price · entry 51¢ · resolved Natus Vincere
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 47¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ | $19.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ | $104.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ | $20.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 50¢ | $38.9k | excluded |