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What this means. A wallet put $42.3k on PARIVISION, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Amissed
$42.3k
BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ · 83,017 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet BITCOINTO500K took PARIVISION (buy) for $42.3k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $42.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if PARIVISION wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$42.3k
Placed
Jan 31, 04:02 EST
Market close
Jan 31, 08:00 EST
Result
Natus Vincere
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
BITCOINTO500K
Tx
0x539ad3f6…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-23.5 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
PARIVISION price · entry 51¢ · resolved Natus Vincere
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $42.3k WHALE $42.3K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $13.1k0% 0xdc85…3532265d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 47¢ $11.3k53% THEHIGHLIFE265d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ $19.8k51% 9sh8f265d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AMED BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ $104.1k51% 0xd0b4…fed6265d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW BUY PARIVISION @ 51¢ $20.4k51% frankfrankfrank265d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $38.9k50% bossoskil1265d agoexcluded