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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 15,651 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x2af4…8bc5 took No (buy) for $14.6k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Feb 05, 00:44 EST
- Market close
- Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2af4…8bc5
- Tx
- 0x513eb561…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+6.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $159.5k 9.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $17.2k | excluded |