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What this means. A wallet put $78.3k on Illinois Fighting Illini, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.2 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesexcluded
$78.3k
BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 76¢ · 103,043 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet3.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet c4c4 took Illinois Fighting Illini (buy) for $78.3k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Illinois Fighting Illini. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $78.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−317American odds
$1.00paid per share if Illinois Fighting Illini wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
76¢
Implied odds
76.0%
As American odds
−317 no vig
Size
$78.3k
Placed
Mar 28, 17:49 EDT
Market close
Mar 28, 18:09 EDT
Result
Illinois Fighting Illini
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
c4c4
Tx
0x4d343def…
This wallet's graded record
14/20+8.2 pts
expected 12.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +24 pts
Illinois Fighting Illini price · entry 76¢ · resolved Illinois Fighting Illini
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 76¢ · $78.3k WHALE $78.3K @ 76¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 0x871f…5ac9209d agoexcluded
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% Predictandbreathe209d agoexcluded
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ $26.6k0% Takeshirosoku209d agoexcluded
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% chenfeng999209d agoexcluded
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesMED SELL Illinois Fighting Illini @ 76¢ $87.4k
2.5× usual
24% bubulalala209d agoexcluded
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 75¢ $12.9k75% 0x871f…5ac9209d agoexcluded