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What this means. A wallet put $18.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.1k
BUY Yes @ 73¢ · 24,797 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet BlasTesla took Yes (buy) for $18.1k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.0%
- As American odds
- −270 no vig
- Size
- $18.1k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 09:15 EST
- Market close
- Mar 02, 15:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BlasTesla
- Tx
- 0x49185e54…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-30.5 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -73 ptsYes price · entry 73¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.6k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $181.1k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY No @ 31¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $17.5k | excluded |