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Xi Jinping out in 2025?called
What this means. A wallet put $297.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$297.0k
BUY No @ 92¢ · 322,829 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)6.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet scottxia1988 took No (buy) for $297.0k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $297.0k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- Size
- $297.0k
- Placed
- Aug 20, 04:31 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scottxia1988
- Tx
- 0x3cb70b61…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.3 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |