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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?excluded
$19.8k
SELL Yes @ 55¢ · 36,089 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet DrPufferfish took Yes (sell) for $19.8k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
55¢
Implied odds
45.0%
As American odds
+122 no vig
Size
$19.8k
Placed
Feb 25, 14:41 EST
Market close
Feb 25, 15:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
DrPufferfish
Tx
0x39b66d74…
This wallet's graded record
6/16-1.0 pts
expected 6.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Yes price · entry 55¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $19.8k WHALE $19.8K @ 55¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.7k0% 0x1d3d…189d240d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% LAURENTONEOFONE240d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% TB14240d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ $34.4k81% gmanas240d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ $14.2k23% petuldo7240d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ $75.5k46% 0x8dbf…53be240d agoexcluded