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Spread: Thunder (-6.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $69.5k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)called$69.5k
BUY Thunder @ 50¢ · 138,977 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h3.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet LaBradfordSmith22 took Thunder (buy) for $69.5k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $69.5k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $69.5k
- Placed
- May 20, 08:20 EDT
- Market close
- May 20, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LaBradfordSmith22
- Tx
- 0x295e5bcd…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+50.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsThunder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 55¢ | $16.5k | called |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 53¢ | $35.3k | called |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 52¢ | $44.0k | called |