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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)missed
$24.9k
BUY Thunder @ 49¢ · 50,777 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet TheOnlyHuman took Thunder (buy) for $24.9k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$24.9k
Placed
May 24, 18:27 EDT
Market close
May 24, 20:00 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
TheOnlyHuman
Tx
0x244de156…
This wallet's graded record
2/10-31.1 pts
expected 5.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -49 pts
Thunder price · entry 49¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $24.9k WHALE $24.9K @ 49¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ $10.9k52% 0x418d…88a3152d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ $10.4k52% wichser152d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)MED BUY Spurs @ 52¢ $196.0k52% 0x4924…3782152d agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ $29.2k52% meoooow152d agocalled
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)LOW BUY Spurs @ 51¢ $10.7k51% Edwardkang3080152d agocalled