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Spread: Spurs (-2.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.9k
BUY Thunder @ 49¢ · 50,777 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet TheOnlyHuman took Thunder (buy) for $24.9k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $24.9k
- Placed
- May 24, 18:27 EDT
- Market close
- May 24, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheOnlyHuman
- Tx
- 0x244de156…
This wallet's graded record
2/10-31.1 pts
expected 5.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsThunder price · entry 49¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $10.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $10.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $196.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $29.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 51¢ | $10.7k | called |