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+$17Yes · avg 69¢ → 80¢ · $117+$18Yes · avg 67¢ → 84¢ · $84+$2Yes · avg 65¢ → 68¢ · $68 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +37.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+37.6 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$185.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.1k
Last 30 days −$634 · $4.49M volume · 4,758 trades · since Oct 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$278.9k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$2,492
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
365d
1428 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 1.9 | +37.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 61¢ | $52.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
 Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 83¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 93.3¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 81¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 78¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | LOW BUY Spurs @ 51¢ | $10.7k | called |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 58¢ | $30.2k | called |
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