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What this means. A wallet put $40.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.6k
BUY No @ 58¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xe4d6…308a took No (buy) for $40.6k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $40.6k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 18:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe4d6…308a
- Tx
- 0x1fc5c4d8…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-10.9 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsNo price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.3k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ | $10.7k | excluded |