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What this means. A wallet put $70.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.7k
BUY Yes @ 83¢ · 85,198 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven wallet2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $70.7k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $70.7k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−488American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 83.0%
- As American odds
- −488 no vig
- Size
- $70.7k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 11:20 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 24, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x1d1204d2…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +17 ptsYes price · entry 83¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $47.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $371.5k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $226.2k 6.9× usual |
excluded |