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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.0k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 36,288 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet dwFqcd4Z took Yes (buy) for $25.0k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−221American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.8%
- Size
- $25.0k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 14:30 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- dwFqcd4Z
- Tx
- 0x07620e95…
This wallet's graded record
4/14-23.7 pts
expected 7.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +31 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $152.6k 3.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $34.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $50.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $32.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $62.7k | excluded |