← Live flags
Spurs vs. Thundercalled
What this means. A wallet put $42.9k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.9k
BUY Thunder @ 68¢ · 63,021 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Thunder (buy) for $42.9k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $42.9k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $42.9k
- Placed
- May 20, 13:08 EDT
- Market close
- May 20, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x0440f6af…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsThunder price · entry 68¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $42.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.6¢ | $86.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $254.9k 5.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 88¢ | $17.6k | excluded |