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What this means. A wallet put $42.9k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thundercalled
$42.9k
BUY Thunder @ 68¢ · 63,021 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports

What happened

Wallet ndb1 took Thunder (buy) for $42.9k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $42.9k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
68.0%
As American odds
−213 no vig
Size
$42.9k
Placed
May 20, 13:08 EDT
Market close
May 20, 20:30 EDT
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ndb1
Tx
0x0440f6af…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +32 pts
Thunder price · entry 68¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $42.9k WHALE $42.9K @ 68¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $42.6k0% PS003156d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% gwj2dnjnj156d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $23.3k0% 0x25cb…03a3156d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.6¢ $86.9k
3.1× usual
100% Countrysid156d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderHIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ $254.9k
5.7× usual
90% PowerSupplyUnit156d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 88¢ $17.6k12% 306079196234018351173259156d agoexcluded