Weekly report card
Week 2025-50
Dec 08, 00:00 EST – Dec 14, 23:59 EST · markets that resolved this week
Price-adjusted edge
+7.2 pts
Called
3/3
Expected from price
2.8
Std. error
±14.9
In week 2025-50, 3 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 3 times; entry prices implied 2.8. Whales beat the price by +7.2 pts. One week is a small sample.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 3 | 2.8 | +7.2 pts |
Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)
called317d ago
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
BUYNo@ 91¢→No
$13.4k · 0x43cf…88faimplied 91%
called317d ago
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
BUYNo@ 92.6¢→No
$11.3k · UwOimplied 93%
called316d ago
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
BUYNo@ 94.7¢→No
$12.1k · Euanimplied 95%
Every graded flag
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $13.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.7¢ | $12.1k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $11.3k | called |
The graded brief, free
unsubscribe anytimeYesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.