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What this means. A wallet put $35.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.4 pts over 52 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.8k
BUY Yes @ 56¢ · 63,978 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet AV23IUa took Yes (buy) for $35.8k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $35.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $35.8k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 12:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 28, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AV23IUa
- Tx
- 0xfbb24a02…
This wallet's graded record
29/52+0.4 pts
expected 28.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsYes price · entry 56¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.5k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $131.1k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ | $71.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |