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What this means. A wallet put $206.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$206.5k
BUY No @ 59¢ · 350,000 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100k6 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet MildredBK took No (buy) for $206.5k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $206.5k+2
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $206.5k
- Placed
- May 27, 10:55 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MildredBK
- Tx
- 0xf7cc84e3…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-10.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsNo price · entry 59¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $63.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded |