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Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $33.1k on Celtics, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)missed$33.1k
BUY Celtics @ 51¢ · 65,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x1b4d…e246 took Celtics (buy) for $33.1k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Celtics wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $33.1k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 20:15 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 22:00 EST
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x1b4d…e246
- Tx
- 0xf4b6ed76…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-8.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsCeltics price · entry 51¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $151.1k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $32.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $74.1k | excluded |