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What this means. A wallet put $46.1k on Pistons, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Pistons vs. Magicmissed
$46.1k
BUY Pistons @ 58¢ · 79,556 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet 0xbd14…d62a took Pistons (buy) for $46.1k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $46.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Pistons wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$46.1k
Placed
Apr 27, 08:23 EDT
Market close
Apr 27, 20:00 EDT
Result
Magic
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xbd14…d62a
Tx
0xefd21986…
This wallet's graded record
4/15-29.0 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Pistons price · entry 58¢ · resolved Magic
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $46.1k WHALE $46.1K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Pistons vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $26.8k0% JJbeast179d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $78.3k0% Hugewinner179d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $12.2k0% 0xce36…2b99179d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ $64.7k100% LordofPM179d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 99.4¢ $11.1k99% YOURSOUL179d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 98.3¢ $89.4k
3.2× usual
98% Countrysid179d agoexcluded