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What this means. A wallet put $106.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?missed
$106.1k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 258,795 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet doraem0n took Yes (buy) for $106.1k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $106.1k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.0%
As American odds
+144 no vig
Size
$106.1k
Placed
Apr 14, 00:24 EDT
Market close
Apr 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
doraem0n
Tx
0xe40daf73…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-34.8 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts
Yes price · entry 41¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $106.1k WHALE $106.1K @ 41¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0x20d6…3856192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.2k0% berbisminsk192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.6k
2.3× usual
0% olegio192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% GrizzliesSuck192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.8k0% Netrol193d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.9k0% rndmb3193d agoexcluded