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Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed
What this means. A wallet put $41.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed$41.5k
SELL No @ 95.8¢ · 43,336 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x1081…3db0 took No (sell) for $41.5k at an average 95.8¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $41.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95.8¢
- Implied odds
- 4.2%
- Size
- $41.5k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 00:48 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x1081…3db0
- Tx
- 0xe1709aa2…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-4.2 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |