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What this means. A wallet put $27.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.0k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 56,707 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet lfg100k took Yes (buy) for $27.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+110American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 47.6%
- As American odds
- +110 no vig
- Size
- $27.0k
- Placed
- Sep 28, 08:31 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lfg100k
- Tx
- 0xdd83ac4d…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+34.3 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsYes price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $16.2k | called |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | MED BUY No @ 52¢ | $44.9k | missed |