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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 6.8¢ · 735,038 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x5fae…78f1 took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 6.8¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 7¢ means
7%chance the market gave
+1370American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 6.8¢
- Implied odds
- 6.8%
- As American odds
- +1370 no vig
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 14:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5fae…78f1
- Tx
- 0xd8d9f199…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-5.3 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsYes price · entry 6.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.3k | excluded |