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Patriots vs. Broncosmissed
What this means. A wallet put $44.2k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$44.2k
BUY Broncos @ 34¢ · 130,096 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet primm took Broncos (buy) for $44.2k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $44.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $44.2k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 10:18 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- primm
- Tx
- 0xc6fef5dd…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-2.0 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsBroncos price · entry 34¢ · resolved Patriots
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |