← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $89.7k on Mexico, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$89.7k
BUY Mexico @ 46¢ · 194,895 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h3.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Painfulvoid took Mexico (buy) for $89.7k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $89.7k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Mexico wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $89.7k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 04:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Painfulvoid
- Tx
- 0xc51aead6…
This wallet's graded record
10/18-8.0 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsMexico price · entry 46¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |