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What this means. A wallet put $46.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.4k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 87,462 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet frankfrankfrank took Yes (buy) for $46.4k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $46.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $46.4k
- Placed
- Apr 08, 12:08 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 08, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- frankfrankfrank
- Tx
- 0xc0c4acd7…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+8.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsYes price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $74.3k | excluded |