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Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed
What this means. A wallet put $58.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed$58.0k
BUY Yes @ 7¢ · 829,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xaf7f…caea took Yes (buy) for $58.0k at an average 7¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $58.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 7¢ means
7%chance the market gave
+1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 7¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- Size
- $58.0k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 01:46 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xaf7f…caea
- Tx
- 0xafbff697…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-7.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |