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What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?called
$40.0k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 60,660 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet 0x6edd…728c took Yes (buy) for $40.0k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $40.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
65.9%
Size
$40.0k
Placed
Apr 08, 08:19 EDT
Market close
Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6edd…728c
Tx
0xabb30a91…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+34.1 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +34 pts
Yes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $40.0k WHALE $40.0K @ 66¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $152.6k
3.0× usual
100% elmcap2168d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $34.4k100% marsresting168d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $50.4k
2.5× usual
0% Outsmarter168d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $12.8k0% meszarosriskmgmt NEW168d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $32.9k0% Hiworld.168d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $62.7k100% scout170d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$152.6k
LOW elmcap2 · 168d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$34.4k
LOW marsresting · 168d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$50.4k
LOW Outsmarter · 168d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$12.8k
LOW New wallet meszarosriskmgmt · 168d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$32.9k
LOW Hiworld. · 168d ago
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$62.7k
LOW scout · 170d ago