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What this means. A wallet put $21.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.2k
SELL No @ 79¢ · 26,780 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet pada took No (sell) for $21.2k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 20.9%
- Size
- $21.2k
- Placed
- Jul 28, 10:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 18:03 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pada
- Tx
- 0xa79f624b…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+81.2 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +79 ptsNo price · entry 79¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $19.3k | called | |
| LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $11.6k | called | |
| LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $13.3k | called | |
| LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $13.6k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $14.1k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 90.2¢ | $13.1k | called |