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What this means. A wallet put $21.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?called
$21.2k
SELL No @ 79¢ · 26,780 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet pada took No (sell) for $21.2k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
79¢
Implied odds
20.9%
Size
$21.2k
Placed
Jul 28, 10:02 EDT
Market close
Jul 31, 18:03 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
pada
Tx
0xa79f624b…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+81.2 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +79 pts
No price · entry 79¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 79¢ · $21.2k WHALE $21.2K @ 79¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?LOW SELL No @ 95¢ $19.3k5% Hauchn86d agocalled
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?LOW SELL No @ 87¢ $11.6k13% destinyas86d agocalled
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?LOW SELL No @ 83¢ $13.3k17% pada86d agocalled
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?LOW SELL No @ 85¢ $13.6k15% Hauchn87d agocalled
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $14.1k75% neutralwave23 PROVEN91d agocalled
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?MED BUY Yes @ 90.2¢ $13.1k90% IPOS NEW114d agocalled