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What this means. A wallet put $28.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.2k
BUY No @ 58¢ · 48,535 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet hugesportswhale took No (buy) for $28.2k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $28.2k
- Placed
- Apr 06, 15:31 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 07, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hugesportswhale
- Tx
- 0xa28cf07c…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-23.7 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsNo price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $34.2k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 90.2¢ | $14.5k | excluded |