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Trail Blazers vs. Spursmissed
What this means. A wallet put $31.6k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.6k
BUY Spurs @ 86¢ · 36,758 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet BABELCONSTEL took Spurs (buy) for $31.6k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved Trail Blazers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−614American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.0%
- As American odds
- −614 no vig
- Size
- $31.6k
- Placed
- Apr 20, 16:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Trail Blazers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BABELCONSTEL
- Tx
- 0xa28573e1…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-17.5 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -86 ptsSpurs price · entry 86¢ · resolved Trail Blazers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 99¢ | $32.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $21.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $20.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $26.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 4.8¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $14.1k | excluded |