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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 34¢ · 145,473 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet whoareyoun took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $50.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+191American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.4%
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 19:28 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- whoareyoun
- Tx
- 0xa0633619…
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Price since this bet
Since entry +2.1 ptsYes price · entry 34¢ · now 36¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $10.0k | pending |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $50.0k | pending |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 65¢ | $27.3k | pending |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $14.0k | pending |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $21.3k | pending |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $50.0k | pending |