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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?called
$11.7k
BUY Yes @ 96.4¢ · 12,098 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Loit123 took Yes (buy) for $11.7k at an average 96.4¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2662American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.4¢
Implied odds
96.4%
Size
$11.7k
Placed
Aug 22, 15:22 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 16:29 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Loit123
Tx
0x9fdcd8dc…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.6 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +4 pts
Yes price · entry 96.4¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96.4¢ · $11.7k WHALE $11.7K @ 96.4¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ $36.8k0% Lior-Pa52d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.0k0% LulaVaiPerder53d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.0k100% Unfinished-July53d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $18.1k100% 0xff1e…5e2d54d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $33.9k100% Sarumantheyellow54d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $11.4k99% thoodr55d agoexcluded