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What this means. A wallet put $52.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
$52.6k
SELL No @ 40¢ · 131,475 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took No (sell) for $52.6k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $52.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$52.6k
Placed
Jun 21, 20:58 EDT
Market close
Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x709e…66f5
Tx
0x989c2b22…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +40 pts
No price · entry 40¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $52.6k WHALE $52.6K @ 40¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $364.1k0% otsosiusa NEW124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% Kelvin789124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.7k0% zhouqin19888124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.8k0% fleamarut1124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.5k0% 0xa04c…9e3f124d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $123.8k0% joshlick9321124d agoexcluded