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What this means. A wallet put $16.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.6k
BUY Yes @ 38¢ · 43,584 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xb4f9…c9a7 took Yes (buy) for $16.6k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $16.6k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 13:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 12:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xb4f9…c9a7
- Tx
- 0x8a038fcb…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+28.7 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +62 ptsYes price · entry 38¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 62¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $11.7k | missed |