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What this means. A wallet put $198.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$198.3k
BUY No @ 86¢ · 230,366 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite8 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet7.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $198.3k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $198.3k+2
8 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−619American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.1%
- As American odds
- −619 no vig
- Size
- $198.3k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 17:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x87dc1f67…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +14 ptsNo price · entry 86¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $40.4k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $15.1k | missed |