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Rockets vs. Heatmissed
What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Rockets, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.3 pts over 59 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY Rockets @ 57¢ · 17,618 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet elkmonkey took Rockets (buy) for $10.0k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rockets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 11:56 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 15:30 EST
- Result
- Heat
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elkmonkey
- Tx
- 0x70c5d169…
This wallet's graded record
33/59-4.3 pts
expected 35.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsRockets price · entry 57¢ · resolved Heat
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $156.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 99¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 97¢ | $17.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Rockets @ 54¢ | $39.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Rockets @ 61¢ | $15.0k | excluded |