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Patriots vs. Broncosmissed
What this means. A wallet put $44.5k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Broncosmissed$44.5k
BUY Broncos @ 32¢ · 139,001 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xd0b4…fed6 took Broncos (buy) for $44.5k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $44.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 32.0%
- As American odds
- +212 no vig
- Size
- $44.5k
- Placed
- Jan 22, 15:44 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xd0b4…fed6
- Tx
- 0x66b65f4e…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+3.4 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsBroncos price · entry 32¢ · resolved Patriots
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |