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Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $334.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded$334.5k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 374,356 shares in 12 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite12 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet12.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $334.5k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $334.5k+3
12 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−839American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.4%
- As American odds
- −839 no vig
- Size
- $334.5k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x5795f476…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +11 ptsNo price · entry 89¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $46.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |