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What this means. A wallet put $38.9k on Ashlyn Krueger, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Kruegerexcluded
$38.9k
BUY Ashlyn Krueger @ 25¢ · 155,600 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Ashlyn Krueger (buy) for $38.9k at an average 25¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved Ashlyn Krueger. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $38.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 25¢ means
25%chance the market gave
+300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Ashlyn Krueger wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
25¢
Implied odds
25.0%
As American odds
+300 no vig
Size
$38.9k
Placed
Oct 24, 01:32 EDT
Market close
Oct 24, 01:00 EDT
Result
Ashlyn Krueger
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0x55b0a47a…
This wallet's graded record
12/22-4.4 pts
expected 13.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +75 pts
Ashlyn Krueger price · entry 25¢ · resolved Ashlyn Krueger
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 25¢ · $38.9k WHALE $38.9K @ 25¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn KruegerMED BUY Ann Li @ 67¢ $55.8k67% Woaifacai4h agoexcluded
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn KruegerLOW BUY Ashlyn Krueger @ 35¢ $46.8k35% 0x2c33…05634h agoexcluded
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn KruegerLOW BUY Ann Li @ 62¢ $28.8k62% Kkunn7h agomissed
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn KruegerLOW BUY Ann Li @ 61¢ $10.3k61% Kkunn9h agomissed