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What this means. A wallet put $26.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.4k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 40,665 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther
What happened
Wallet mombil took Yes (buy) for $26.4k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−185American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 64.9%
- Size
- $26.4k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 18:32 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 07, 21:24 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mombil
- Tx
- 0x4e57747f…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+0.9 pts
expected 8.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $143.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $47.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $68.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |