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What this means. A wallet put $16.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.8k
BUY Yes @ 89¢ · 18,959 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $16.8k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−785American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 88.7%
- Size
- $16.8k
- Placed
- Oct 17, 00:02 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 04, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x3cc49c5c…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $163.4k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.6k | excluded |