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Magic vs. Pistonscalled
What this means. A wallet put $63.5k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$63.5k
BUY Magic @ 22¢ · 287,883 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet Hugewinner took Magic (buy) for $63.5k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $63.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 22¢ means
22%chance the market gave
+353American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 22¢
- Implied odds
- 22.1%
- As American odds
- +353 no vig
- Size
- $63.5k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 15:15 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 19, 18:30 EDT
- Result
- Magic
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Hugewinner
- Tx
- 0x2c00cb7b…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-9.4 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +78 ptsMagic price · entry 22¢ · resolved Magic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $23.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $340.3k 6.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |