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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?called
$15.8k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 17,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet 0x8a11…e24d took No (buy) for $15.8k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
Size
$15.8k
Placed
Jan 29, 05:24 EST
Market close
Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x8a11…e24d
Tx
0x1d71b200…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+7.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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