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What this means. A wallet put $434.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$434.5k
BUY No @ 60¢ · 724,172 shares
Size ≥ $250k10.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $434.5k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $434.5k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $434.5k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 02:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 20, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x17567646…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsNo price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.9k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | MED BUY No @ 86¢ | $161.9k 10.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 38¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $26.0k | excluded |