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What this means. A wallet put $21.4k on G2, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsexcluded
$21.4k
BUY G2 @ 40¢ · 53,597 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet gmanas took G2 (buy) for $21.4k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved MOUZ. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if G2 wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.0%
As American odds
+150 no vig
Size
$21.4k
Placed
Feb 06, 13:26 EST
Market close
Feb 06, 13:00 EST
Result
MOUZ
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
gmanas
Tx
0x027c7427…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -40 pts
G2 price · entry 40¢ · resolved MOUZ
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $21.4k WHALE $21.4K @ 40¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLOW BUY MOUZ @ 76¢ $74.8k
2.4× usual
76% gmanas260d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLOW BUY MOUZ @ 62¢ $40.3k62% leaguebro260d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLOW BUY G2 @ 39¢ $39.0k39% Donghui260d agomissed
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLOW BUY G2 @ 38¢ $70.0k
2.2× usual
38% gmanas260d agomissed
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLOW BUY MOUZ @ 62¢ $11.2k62% YT-JuicySlots260d agocalled
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsLOW BUY MOUZ @ 62¢ $50.0k62% 0x163e…dc5b260d agocalled