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CosmicCedar

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -84.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-84.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$11.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±36.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$30.6k
Last 30 days +$11.1k · $3.48M volume · 14,456 trades · since Oct 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$212.0k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$34.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
387d
6585 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other100.8-84.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $11.1k85% 77d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdacf9f…