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Magic vs. Celticsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $202.2k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$202.2k
BUY Magic @ 85¢ · 237,840 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1h5.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gatorr took Magic (buy) for $202.2k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Celtics, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $202.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- As American odds
- −567 no vig
- Size
- $202.2k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 12:46 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Celtics
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gatorr
- Tx
- 0xf875a364…
This wallet's graded record
6/12-6.6 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -85 ptsMagic price · entry 85¢ · resolved Celtics
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Celtics @ 96.3¢ | $43.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Celtics @ 82¢ | $14.7k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Celtics @ 80¢ | $32.7k | excluded |