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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on Spirit, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.0k
BUY Spirit @ 58¢ · 32,719 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Spirit (buy) for $19.0k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved MOUZ, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spirit wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $19.0k
- Placed
- Oct 10, 12:37 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 10, 13:45 EDT
- Result
- MOUZ
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0xe8b0ca58…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsSpirit price · entry 58¢ · resolved MOUZ
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | $118.7k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 66¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 57¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | LOW SELL MOUZ @ 44¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | LOW BUY MOUZ @ 72¢ | $13.2k | excluded |