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Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $53.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded$53.5k
BUY No @ 71¢ · 75,790 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $53.5k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $53.5k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−240American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 70.6%
- As American odds
- −240 no vig
- Size
- $53.5k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 21:35 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xbfe0f618…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -71 ptsNo price · entry 71¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $364.1k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $123.8k | excluded |